This is mixing a pwl issue with the loose dry avalanche problem! If I'm asked to only worry about loose dry avaanches, the pwl issue becomes irrelelvant but is this really what you want to know?
For this whole section I am guessing that I am totally discounting the possibility of a slab release. I.e. rising temps won't give me a slab problem
cohesive snow and loose avalanche? Is it different on this slope from the ones with loose avalanches? Do I have a slab problem even though I assume not?
might be serious because of slab formation
With 60 Hn, signs of previous avalanche activity may be obscured.
I'd be more worried about a storm snow slab
these are slab conditions
more worried about slab formation
looks good until you add the warming toward 0 degrees.
likelyhood high of loose avalanches but relatively shallow, now lets add terrain
not for loose avalanches due to cohesive sfc
incr temps and solar incr chance if somewhat shallow
in genereal all scenarios have had the surface snow as cohesive. how cohesive? This is important and I need to feel it to better answer these. Sems to be a point I am wondering about or trying to assess when reading this. It's frustrating taking the servey because I can't do a ski cut or some other assessment to see the results.
Is it 10-30 deep above the crust or below it?
It will not be a dry surface avalanche for long
The solar radiation must have firmed up the snow surface. However, I thought from the initial slope description that the slope was not affected by incoming radiation...
As with scenario 1, we have a slope that it not on a solar aspect yet solar radiation is significantly affecting the snow surface despite the temperature being below zero.
What depth is the cohesive layer?
It's all about manageing the terrain.  With loose snow, it's about getting out of the way so it doesn't take you down and get hurt in a terrain trap.  The bigger potential problem would be slab avalanches, which I imagine could be a problem with 60 cm of new snow!!
Now, you're making me worry more, because of the thaw instability.  I would be more concerned about slabs!!  But, even the loose snow could get a bit ugly with these conditions
Depends on how much solar radiation over the previous several days.  If it's the 1st day since the last snowfall, then a bit more serious.  But....when are we going to talk about slab avalanches, which are usually the bigger problem????