This is difficult to predict based upon no real picture of the terrain and where the avalanche occured. Rapid warming would be turning the 30cm loose to moist. How is there no wind transport but signs of wind slabs with light triggers?
25x25m is not very big, but avoidance of the wet slab is closely linked to the skiing ability. If caught in the slide the likelihood of injury is great and even a more severe outcome could be the consequence
Depends on the actual nature of the terrain trap and how much of the 60 cm of new could pile up.
Event is highly unlikely, but would have serious consequences. Avalanche would move slowly however.
Highly unlikely event, but serious consequence.
trees and heavy wet snow make it pretty easy for someone to be injured by hitting a tree or getting a knee twisted in the slide
small avalanche but wet snow, trees and terrain trap below
not steep enough to cause serious harm although the slab would be deep but most likely would not gain much momentum
I would assume thst s skier, even in a small slide can easely get carried over cliffs, even in moderate terrain
Moderate likelyhood due to the mature timber and terrain trap, probabilty low consequences high
Deep slab, shallow snowpack and 100 m.X 100 m. slab could make for ugly consequences.
Depends on how good the rescue response was since this description suggests asphyxiation rather than mechanical injury.
I just noticed you have a double probability here: 'what do you think the most likely consequence' and 'no or little/small/moderate/high/very high'? interesting
Not sure about that terrain trap, but good group control will manage it safely
tree well issues however
Deep slab in trees.
I maybe overthinking here...trigger windslab unlikely but if I do, not that unlikely to step deeper
I think this question is not real on a slope of 20 degreees or less
Will not trigger a slide on a 20 degree slope.
Solid crust, temps and radiation not a factor, no wet loose avalanche possible
small avalanche, deep slab
not steep and  no vegetaion, but unsuported
most snowmobilers killed in size 3 avalanches.
trauma is a huge factor
due to terrain trap because slope itself is open
The unsupported terrain trap with 60 cm of potential loos e snow is the key.
Once again I cant see a dry loose avalanche happening on a slope less than 20 degrees
since this slope has additional "decision points", I may change my mind, and then you wouldn't ever know what the chances were of triggering an avalanche.
Steep slope into a terrain trap, deep fracture, it does not look good for you if it goes
given amount of  snow in a deep slab i looks bad
size of the slope is the only favorable thing
lack of terrain traps but depth f instability is a key factor
slab is unlikely to run if triggered
if there was nio terrain trap, not so much of an issue, ad the terrain trap and risk is much higher
concern with just the stepest part of the covexity, running into the terrain trap, would the loose snow get there in the 30+ area if the (av slope is 30 degrees)
short slope, but low angle reduces chance but add the terrain trap
the terrain trap tips the ballance here in combo with depth of the layer
if it pulled onto this shallow slope mybe it could take you into the terrain trap
again worst case, if it did trigger onto flat terain, could it pull you into that terrain trap, therefor I ahd to rat it sa ride a ride with small likelyhood
depth if it did go and go into that terrain trap would be vey serious
depth of fracture and terrain trap make the combo worse
as per previous comment - depends on 'features' and trap
if the crust is solid - you wont get a loose slide - ever
air temps below freezing, not sun facing, there will not be an avalanche, so a bit silly to guess consequence
thick slab big slope but luckily no terrain trap
given the slope angle, unlikey to run far, and no terrain traps  but depth of the slab might pose pushes it to my rating Vs no risk
Assumng the 30 to 60 cm re-frozen layer is thawed the issue is the terrain trap
too low angle
depth of slab and terrain trap, unlikey to go but if it did
give me a break you guys... I've never seen a loose snow avalanche on anything this low angle.
slope angle again the key
I dont think a skier could trigger an avalanche under these conditions( time of day dependent
it's lower angle but terrain trap swings the balance
slope angle less but still deep enough  to be  ugly in the terrain trap
not liley to move unlesthere was a mini feature in there
depth is less, but a bigger slope negavitve, but has a good run-out
If it goes terrain trap, despite shallow slab destructive potential is significant
I would assume having the addtional decision points would be where there are terrain features that would break up the slope.
To   low slope angle
depth of 30 to 60 cms affects  the outcome
but if it did run, could be  ugly
terrain trap will increase the issue
not steep, planar and not traps, additional decision points
trauma likely
based on that there would be no wind slab on this feature and if there was it would be small and the reulting injury would be from a tiny windslab and tumbling down a steep slope.
no options and a t trap
Could be a long ride with a deep slab
It depends on the skier/rider - they have to know to get out of the way when the sluff gets too big.
In an area protected from the wind with no slab in the snow I think do not think an avalanche would be triggered
assuming slab is limited to "thin breakable wind crust"
A lot depends on where the skier is on the slope when avalanche is triggered.